Külügyi Szemle - A Magyar Külügyi Intézet folyóirata - 2012 (11. évfolyam)
2012 / 1. szám - AZ "ARAB TAVASZ" ESETTANULMÁNYAI - Jungbert Béla: Az "arab tavasz" és Jordánia: revolúció helyett evolúció
Az „arab tavasz" és Jordánia West would like to see. The expected need for coalition governing, governmental responsibility and, last but not least, the dependence of these states on Western aid may still lead to the strengthening of stability and democratization, both in "transiting" and "non-transiting" states. Jordan is a country, which contrary to the Gulf States or Algeria, has no resources of its own to "buy" social peace in order to manage the consequences of the political and economic crisis, still, by the way of top-down reforms initiated and directed by the constitutional monarch. This "Jordanian way" was called by Catherine Ashton a "chaos- free change". But this way can only lead somewhere if it means the introduction of a representative democracy, parliamentary governance, the constitutional limitation of royal power, the freedom of the civil society and the freedom and appropriate control of the economy. The realization of this, however, depends also on the eventual coming into power of the dominant, but as yet out-of-parliament Islamists, the political inclinations of the majority Palestinian refugees, and the developments in the direct neighbourhood and the region at large. The West supports this direction towards reforms by its own means: in the form of American security and infrastructure development aids, and the financing of projects by the EU-Jordan Task Force. 2012. tavasz 187
