Pálfai Imre: Belvizek és aszályok Magyarországon. Hidrológiai tanulmányok (KÖZDOK Kft., Budapest, 2004)

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IMRE PÁLFAI UNDRAINED RUNOFF AND DROUGHTS IN Hungary Hydrologic studies Contents FOREWORD..................................................................................................13 UNDRAINED RUNOFF Definitions and severity................................................................................17 Definitions ..................................................................................................17 Severity.........................................................................................................35 Historical review and recent large inundations ...................................37 Inundations in the Plains from 1870 to 1985 .......................................37 T he disastrous inundation in 1941/42 ...................................................43 Groundwater emergence in the South-Plains........................................56 L essons from past large inundations .....................................................64 T he inundation in winter-spring and summer in 1998/99 ..................68 T he winter-spring inundation in 1999/2000 ..........................................77 H ydrology and characteristics of excess undrained runoff ..............85 F actors controlling inundation and drainage ........................................85 C ollection and processing data on undrained runoff ..........................88 H ydrologic analysis of low-land areas...................................................93 H ydrologic description of undrained runoff........................................107 E ffect of natural factors on the inundation hazard ............................127 The undrained runoff index....................................................................130 E stimation of runoff with unavailable data in the Kőrösér drainage section....................................................................................136 The inundation hazard map of Hungary..............................................142 U ndrained runoff in residential areas....................................................155 Drainage in the residential area of Orosháza.....................................155 I nundation of residential area ...............................................................172 T he cloudburst at Orosháza....................................................................178 Runoff forecasts...........................................................................................181 Short-term forecasting of undrained runoff in the Lower-Tisza Region ....................................................................181 Conference on undrained runoff forecasting ......................................186 N ational runoff forecasts for 1999 ........................................................189 M ethods of, and experiences with, runoff forecasting in Hungary .193 Estimation of the design runoff .............................................................197 R eview of design runoff estimation methods......................................197 R ecent approaches to estimating the design runoff ..........................210 9

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