Pálfai Imre: Belvizek és aszályok Magyarországon. Hidrológiai tanulmányok (KÖZDOK Kft., Budapest, 2004)
Tartalomjegyzék
Contents Estimating the design undrained runoff from inundation and runoff data..............................................................................................216 Strategic issues..............................................................................................231 International drainage sections in the Carpathian Basin ...................231 S tudy on the tasks of low-land drainage ............................................241 D eliberations on the new strategy of low-land drainage...................243 T he 1999 inundation emergency and its impacts on shaping the new drainage strategy..............................................246 R eflections on the possibilities of a conservationist approach to low-land drainage ...........................................................................250 DROUGHTS Definitions, controlling factors and severity........................................255 Drought definitions..................................................................................255 Controlling factors and severity of drought........................................258 Historical review and recent severe droughts.....................................265 Drought years in Hungary from the 11th to the 20th century.........265 D roughts over three centuries in the Tisza Valley ............................269 D ocumentary evidence of the abnormal drought of 1794 ................275 T he 1863 drought disaster.....................................................................279 T he risk of drought in the Plains...........................................................285 The 1990 drought ...................................................................................293 The 1992 drought ...................................................................................308 The 1993 drought ...................................................................................319 Unprecedented little rainfall in the year 2000 ...................................328 Assessment of the 2000 drought ...........................................................330 Assessment of the 2003 drought ...........................................................333 Comprehensive drought studies .............................................................339 L ow-flows in the river Tisza and droughts..........................................339 Variations in time and the drought-stricken areas..............................342 P robability of droughts in Hungary......................................................350 D rought-risk zones in Hungary.............................................................359 A pproximate drought-risk map of the Danube Basin.......................377 D rought forecasting....................................................................................381 The possibilities of forecasting droughts ............................................381 R egression approach to drought forecasting........................................385 Experiences with drought forecasts for irrigation...............................389 Drought forecasts in 2003 ......................................................................396 I ssues of drought strategy .........................................................................401 Impacts on water management of droughts in Hungary...................401 O vercoming water scarcity on the sand ridge between the Danube and Tisza rivers................................................................409 10
