Külügyi Szemle - A Magyar Külügyi Intézet folyóirata - 2008 (7. évfolyam)

2008 / 1. szám - TÁVOL-KELET - Csoma Mózes: Észak-Korea a kínai szatellit állammá válás útján

Résumé North Korea on the Way to Became Satellite State of China The situation of the Korean Peninsula is a permanent "hot issue" of the East Asian security problems. During the Cold War era, the situation on the Korean Peninsula was analyzed on the basis of the confrontation between the United States and the Soviet Union. Now the most important variables are China's policies toward North Korea. China, now in competition with the United States, needs a buffer zone between its own territory and South Korea where U.S. forces are stationed permanently. China is also pursuing economic interests in North Korea. The fast-growing Chinese economy is in dire need for natural resources, so Beijing is interested in tapping North Korea's underground resources. What China wants from North Korea is political sta­bility, economic development and diplomatic compliance with Beijing. But at present, Beijing regards North Korea as a growing burden as the Kim Jong-il regime continues to ignore the basic principles of modem economy, causes international crises, and seeks survival entirely through dependence on its aid. If North Korea maintains its policy of rejecting reform and openness, China may consider establishing a new regime in Pyongyang. And in the event Kim Jong-il dies and the country descends into turmoil, China could intervene to stabilize the situation and then establish a pro-Beijing govern­ment in the North. The study describes the historical background of the Sino-Korean relations, the dis­puted questions like the border line of the Korean Peninsula and China. It also de­scribes the opinion of some well-known Korea experts. 2008. tavasz 83

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