Amerikai Magyar Értesítő, 1982 (18. évfolyam, 1-12. szám)

1982-02-01 / 2. szám

10 A. M. E. 1982. február Army already occupied most of the lib­erated territory in Eastern Europe, and the Western powers priority enemies, Nazi Germany and imperial Japan, were not yet vanquished. The suspicion of dirty dealing at Yalta is reinforced by the goings-on at a prior meeting of Churchill and Stalin in Moscow. The two leaders scribbled down on a piece of paper who would get what —90 per cent Western influence in Greece, 90 per cent Soviet in Romania, 50-50 in Hungary and Yugoslavia, 75-25 for Stalin in Bulgaria. The myth of Yalta as the pillar of Eu­ropean stability also grew after the fact. In the early years after World War II, most European countries felt insecure enough about the Soviet Union to unite in a defense alliance against it—the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. U.S. poli­cy, far from accepting a “your-half, our- half” compromise, dedicated itself to “rolling back,” and when this proved im­possible, to “containing” communism in Europe. Containment has worked pretty well. Since NATO was founded, not an inch of European territory has fallen under Soviet sway, and not even a minor mili­tary skirmish has marred Europe’s gen­eration of peace. That has been good enough for the Western allies. When possible opportuni­ties to roll back communism have presented themselves—the periodic tur­bulence in Soviet satellite countries—the West 'always does nothing, or nearly nothing. The present allied squabbling about sanctions against Poland or the Soviet Union is a confession of powerlessnes. Nothing short of war will change the fact that Moscow calls the shots in its sphere of influence—and war is out of the ques­tion. How you feel about this hard truth determines whether you are an anti- Yalta person, bitter about it, or a pro- Yalta person, making the best of it. Two efforts to make the best of it were the Helsinki Conference and the “Sonnenfeldt doctrine.” Both sold out Eastern Europe all over again, in the sense that they recognized the bald real­ity that the Soviet Union is a superpower engaged in a bitter, long-term conflict with the capitalist world, and it there­fore has a natural interest—not nec­essarily a right, but at least a natural interest—in protecting its flank with a cushion of non-threatening regimes. So, at Helsinki, the West recog­nized the map of Europe. It promised not to try to shift the borders or to in­terfere with the internal workings of the Soviet-bloc regimes. It accepted them. But as at Yalta, the West tried to get a better deal for the East Europe­an people. As the trade-off for accept­ance, it insisted that the Soviet-bloc regimes sign a paper undertaking to respect fundamental human rights. Helmut Sonnenfeldt, a State De­partment adviser in the Nixon-Ford administrations, took the stability ar­gument a step further. The gravest threat to peace in Eu­rope, he said, was the failure of the Soviet Union and its satellites to get along with each other on any basis other than domination by Moscow. This failure, he argued, kept the smaller Eastern European countries in a state of chronic frustration. When frustration boiled over into a chal­lenge to Soviet power, he said, it was a blow to Western security, too. Thus, he concluded, the West shares with Moscow an interest in the stability of the Soviet sphere of influ­ence. Its policy should be to encour­age the development of “organic rela­tionships” between the Soviet Union and its satellites. The “Sonnenfeldt doctrine” caused a nine-day uproar in 1976. To those who believe that the West’s political duty is to witness for freedom and democratic institutions, the idea of helping Moscow foster “organic rela­tionships” with its satellites was out­rageous cynicism over the fate of 100 million Europeans. v In fact, however, Mr. Sonnenfeldt was saying no more than Mr. Schmidt and other pro-Yalta people are saying today when they counsel a cautious response to the Polish military take­over. Poland has demonstrated the truth of his major premise, that insta­bility in the Soviet sphere created problems for the West as well. “Yalta”—in the meaning of the di­vision of Europe into spheres of inter­est— may not be something that can be maintained by policy, however, any more than it was set up by con­scious policies adopted at Yalta. The dissolution of Yalta may already have begun. Poland is the obvious current symptom of the weakness of the Sovi­et bloc. In the end the communist re­gime had no ariswer to the Polish workers—except guns. The Soviet system is too rigid or too insecure to accomodate to change. It can only reinforce its rigidity, which is what Gen. Wojciech Jaruzelski has done. If the pressure builds enough, however, rigidity will turn out to be exactly the wrong strategy: The typhoon uproots the mighty oak, but spares the bend­ing willow. Willows are not immune to ter­mites, however, and neither is the Western alliance. The Yalta era is ending here, too, partly because the Soviet Union no longer looks to West­ern Europe like a likely invader, part­ly because the Western European countries, having regained their strength and self-confidence from the ravages of World War II, are less con­tent to follow American leadership. The European peace movement is only one symptom. Others are the growing pressures for trade barriers and the general sense on both sides of the Atlantic that Europe and America no longer understand each other very well, and no longer agree on what to do about the world. In its own quiet way, what is hap­pening in West Germany, which is ex­periencing a rebirth of nationalism— not the aggressive nationalism of Adolf Hitler, but a renewed belief in the ability of Germans to find their own way in the world—may be as im­portant as the events in Poland. Neither superpower is any longer in full control of events within its own sphere of influence. And that makes spheres of influence—the idea encap­sulated in the word “Yalta”—mean­ingless. Both Yalta myths have served us well for many years. Agreement on spheres of influence has kept the peace, but the nagging accusation of sell-out has been a constant reminder of the price of peace. The danger to the West in continu­ing to honor the myth of Yalta stabil­ity, however, is the same as the dan­ger to the East. Change is coming, in East and West. If it is accomodated, change may come gently and be guided. If it is re­sisted, in the name of preserving 37 years of reasonably acceptable status quo, the coining change could be as violent and unpredictable as it is in­evitable that one day the European Yalta structure will come tumbling down. THE SUN, Sunday, January 24,1982 Dr. Steven Kopits “The Best of Baltimore’s Best” is being cited for his pioneer work with the “little people”—those af­flicted by 33 known dwarfing condi­tions—at the Hopkins and at Chil­dren’s Hospital. Born in Budapest, Hungary, in 1936, Dr. Kopits is the son and grandson of orthopedic surgeons. 9 The family escaped the Nazis and • made its way to Argentina where Steven went to medical school. He arrived in the United States with a surgical internship at Union Me­morial Hospital in 1964 and an or­thopedic residency at the Hopkins from 1965 to 1968”.

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