Vízügyi Közlemények, 1996 (78. évfolyam)

2. füzet - Csermák Béla: Vízkészlet gazdálkodási rendszerek optimalizálása modellezéssel

Vízkészlet-gazdálkodási rendszerek optimalizálása modellezéssel 165 reservoir and a few water users of the similar type and the basis of the design is to meet quantitative water demands. A methodological shortcoming is that the knowledge of the distortion of the discharge distribution function as caused by the operation of the reservoir is assumed although it depends on the way of the reservoir operation, which latter will be determined as the result of the model application. This model can be used for simple cases with a good engineering judgement. The simulation model derives the economically optimum size and operation schedule for all elements of the water resource management system. It handles the probability components of the expectation-matrix not as given features but as the results of the optimization. A theoretical drawback of this method is that it searches not the maximum of the economic benefit but the minimum of the economic loss prevented (Equation 22.). Another disadvantage is (stemming from the extremely detailed character of the model), that is would require vast computer time. In order to make the model implementable in terms of the computation techniques the possibilities of simplification should be investigated.