Miklós Kásler - Zoltán Szentirmay (szerk.): Identifying the Árpád Dynasty Skeletons Interred in the Matthias Church. Applying data from historical, archaeological, anthropological, radiological, morphological, radiocarbon dating and genetic research (Budapest, 2021)

CHAPTER ELEVEN – SUMMARY

of them. We ruled out Géza II from the potential candidates via genetic and statistical investigations, and thus person II/52_3 can only be Béla II (the Blind). 2. Radiocarbon dating. Radiocarbon dating puts the age of skeleton II/52_3 between 1035 and 1155 with a 95.4% probability. This interval includes Béla Il ’s death (1141), while the deaths of Géza II, László II and István IV are above the upper limit of the interval by 7, 8 and 10 years, respectively. Thus, the radiocarbon dating suggests person 11/52 is probably Béla II. 3. Consensus marker data. Analysis of the consensus marker data based on the results from the Göttingen and Budapest laboratories and complemented by the next generation sequencing data detected only one marker difference out of 20 when comparing skeleton II/52_3 and Béla Ill ’s A-STR markers; this marker distribution suggests a grandfather-grandson relationship between Béla II (the Blind) and Béla III. 4. Statistical analysis. The statistical analysis conducted with the negative log-likelihood method and having considered all genetic data independently of each other suggests that skeleton II/52_3 is most likely Béla II. 5. Y-STR marker surveys. All of the alleles of the 16 paternal Y-STR markers of King Béla III and skeleton II_52_3 are completely identical. This find shows that skeleton II/52_3 belongs to the line of Árpád Dynasty Kings on the one hand, and on the other hand, it is also closely related to King Béla III. 6. Mitochondrial DNA survey. The grandfather of King Béla II (the Blind) was Géza I, whose first wife was Princess Sofia of Loon, and his second wife was the Byzantine Princess Synadene. 208

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