Vízügyi Közlemények, 2004 (86. évfolyam)

1-2. füzet - Kalmár Elena-Mika János-Schirokné Kriston Ilona-Schlanger Vera-Szentimrey Tamás-Bella Szabolcs-Wantuchné Dobi Ildikó: A 2003. év időjárása a XX. század hazai tendenciáinak tükrében

144 Kalmár E.-Mika J.-Schirvkné Kriston I. Schlanger V.Szentimrey T. Bella Sz.-Wantuchné Dobi I. However, a comparison to annual mean temperatures to the Northern Hemisphere (Fig. 9) indicates parallel behaviour of temperatures at the two scales. Warming, as local response to the global warming is also projected by the 16 GCMs involved in a run performed by the MAGICC/SCENGEN software for Hungary (Fig. 10). At the end of the paper the authors express their opinion about the possible relation between strong anomalies of the year 2003 and the global warming. This is that, although the given year was somewhat similar, in some respects, to the century long tendencies and GCM projections related to the global warming in Hungary, still no direct connection can be established. Since, these anomalies, most likely, were consequences of different physical processes, than those driving the local climate in case of a greenhouse warming. On the other hand, however, changes in extremities and their duration might already be expected in connection with the global shifts of atmospheric and oceanic circulation.