Külügyi Szemle - A Magyar Külügyi Intézet folyóirata - 2008 (7. évfolyam)
2008 / 4. szám - AFRIKA - Hettyey András: Szomália története és a környező országok szerepvállalása 2004 óta
Résumé The history of Somalia and the influence of external actors since 2004 The creation of the Transitional Federal Government (TFG) in 2004 failed to solve the long-standing problems of Somalia. Led by the divisive president Abdullahi Yusuf Ahmed, the TFG alienated key warlords and ordinary Somali citizens alike. While the new government was accepted abroad as the legitimate political face of Somalia, this was never the case in the country itself, where it remained highly unpopular and ineffective, wielding very little influence. A more promising initiative was the ascent in 2006 of the UIC (Union of Islamic Courts), which was seen by Ethiopia as a grave threat because of its jihadist credentials. Addis Abeba decided therefore in December 2007 to attack the Courts and drive them out of Somalia. While the attack was at first successful remnants of the UIC, jihadist fighters and anti-Ethiopian elements soon began a guerilla war against the Ethiopians, leading to heavy casualties on both sides, including civilians. Ethiopia, and the little African Union force AMISOM are obviously unable to pacify the country. One reason for the failure of the TFG is the destructive policy of its neighbours, especially Ethiopia and Eritrea. These countries - alongside with the United States - are pursuing their own agenda in Somalia and are acting in their own interests, making the situation there even more complicated and more difficult to solve. Any future peace settlement must bear these regional interests in mind. U8 Külügyi Szemle
