Külpolitika - A Magyar Külügyi Intézet folyóirata - 1995 (1. évfolyam)
1995 / 3-4. szám - ESEMÉNYNAPTÁR - Resumé
Résumé that uncertainties may emerge from the forthcoming discussions on the future of the EU, too. - In principle, two more favorable models of the integration of Hungary to the EU might be formulated for the next period. In the so called optimal case, till around 1997 the country would advance to become a feasible candidate, it would make the necessary adjustments to meet the requirements of the EU between 1997 and 2000 (already with certain support from the Union), and, after entering it, would continue, in the next 8 — 10 years, the internal adjustment and adaptation process. One major precondition for this option is that a comprehensive, systemic and long shot program with priorities, resources and good management be present, and the very development kept under control. The author doesn't exclude, in principle too, a more entrepreneurial kind of the integration (called the ideal model): whereby the microsphere, particularly those foreign and Hungarian business interests with financial and strategic capacities and a clear commitment would push the state and the administration to support their direction, help and assist them only, rather than leading and dominating the integration process. He adds however, that this ideal option doesn't seem feasible, because of the time shortage, lack of resources and motivation. A delicate and crucial aspect is furthermore the issue of how the population would react to the idea and the practical affects of the necessary transformation coupled to these developments. - Further on, less favorable options may be drafted however, especially with a change of the government. Also certain adverse developments from the EU, the change of mind of the investors shouldn't be excluded, and last but not least, that of the population. The integration could be pursued contrary to all these factors, too, but the very chance and opportunity of these problems draw attention to certain real and existing tensions, shortages still present in Hungary. - Integration to the EU could be, as a last resort, the consequence of a decision on security issues (e.g. wars or similar tensions close to or menacing the Hungarian borders): but this option already falls apart from the original idea of integration. 1995. ősz—tél 255